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black_swan [2008-05-07 07:37]
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black_swan [2019-08-24 06:30] (current)
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-==== The Black Swan ==== +==== The Black Swan - Nassim Nicholas Taleb==== 
-reading notes for 'The Black Swanby Nassim Nicholas Taleb+[[reading notes]] for//The Black Swan// by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 
 + 
 +  * https://www.zotero.org/groups/foam_library/items/itemKey/JXCJFIWZ/q/swan 
 +  * pp. xxi, xxv, xxvii, 7,8,9,11,12 (memory), 14 (bond prices), 15, 16 (complexity), 19 (platonic folds), 21, 24, 31, 33, 35(lists), 37 (grey swans), 42 
 +  * 'black swan event' proofing >> [[taleb robustness]]
  
-pp. xxi, xxv, xxvii, 7,8,9,11,12 (memory), 14 (bond prices), 15, 16 (complexity), 19 (platonic folds), 21, 24, 31, 33, 35(lists), 37 (grey swans), 42 
  
 ==== Long Now Seminar ==== ==== Long Now Seminar ====
-  * Nassim Nicholas Taleb discusses many of the ideas from 'The Black Swan' in hist the [[longnow]] seminars about long term thinking >> http://s3.amazonaws.com/salt-recordings/salt-020080208-taleb/salt-020080208-taleb_web.mp3+  * Nassim Nicholas Taleb discusses many of the ideas from 'The Black Swan' in his [[Long Now]] seminar about long term thinking >> http://s3.amazonaws.com/salt-recordings/salt-020080208-taleb/salt-020080208-taleb_web.mp3
  
 ==== NNT / / Authors Notes ==== ==== NNT / / Authors Notes ====
   * http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm   * http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm
 +
 +==== research using black swan / 4th quadrant as a starting point ====
 +
 +via http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/DerivTBS.htm
 + 
 +  * SPECIAL ISSUES of ACADEMIC JOURNALS:
 +    * International Journal of Forecasting, 2009 -- Decision Making under Low Levels of Predictability - Articles by Makridakis, Gigererenzer, Taleb, Goldstein, etc.
 +    * The American Statistician 2007 Black Swan Articles  --Brown, Lund, Wesfall, Hilbe, and Taleb
 +    * Critical Review Black Swan Symposium Blyth, Callahan, Jervis, and Runde
 + 
 +  * BOOK LENGTH WORKS
 +    * Lecturing Birds on Flying  Pablo Triana, Wiley 2009
 +    * The Blank Swan, The End of Probability   Elie Ayache, Wiley 2010
 +    * The Art of Credit Derivatives: Demystifying the Black Swan Joao Garcia & Serge Goossens. Wiley 2010
 +    * On the Survival of Rats in the Slush Pile  Michael Allen (on the Casanova problem in the publishing industry)
 + 
 +  * ECONOMICS / STATISTICS / OPERATIONS RESEARCH
 +    * Quality, Risk and the Taleb Quadrants IBM Quality & Productivity Research, 2009, Ron S. Kenett and Charles S. Tapiero, SSRN
 +    * A Black Swan in the Money Market, NBER Working Paper No. W13943, Rock Center for Corporate Governance Working Paper No. 33
 +    * John B. Taylor and John C. Williams, Stanford University and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
 +    * Black Swan or Fat Turkey? Business Strategy Review, Vol. 19, Issue 3, pp. 34-39, Autumn 2008 Geoff Booth and Elias Mazzawi , SSRN
 +    * Italian Operational Requirement and Small Banks: The Black Swan Bancaria No. 03-2009 ,Gianfausto Salvadori , Simona Cosma and Giampaolo Gabbi , SSRN
 +    * Nickels versus Black Swans: Reputation, Trading Strategies and Asset Prices Yale ICF Working Paper No. 08-26 Steven G. Malliaris and Hongjun Yan C Yale University - International Center for Finance and Yale University - International Center for Finance , SSRN
 +    * Swan-Upmanship Business Strategy Review, Vol. 20, Issue 1, pp. 58-61, Spring 2009, Des Dearlove , SSRN
 +    * The Financial Meltdown of 2008: Causes and Symptoms   Saur Vaishwanar, SSRN
 +    * Monetary and Financial Stability  Axel Leijonhufvud, The Centre for Economic Policy Research, No 14
 + 
 +  * DEFENSE
 +    * COOP Hardening Against Black Swans, Victoria Fineberg, National Defense University, 2009
 +
 +  * PHYSICS/ECONOPHYSICS
 +    * Dragon-Kings, Black Swans and the Prediction of Crises, Didier Sornette, 2009, ArXiv, arXiv.org > physics > arXiv:0907.4290, In Press, International Journal of Terraspace Science and Engineering (2009
 + 
 +  * ENGINEERING
 +    * Strategies for managing the Consequences of Black Swan Events, Avinash M Nafday, Leadership and Management in Engineering, October 2009
 + 
 +  * CLIMATE CHANGE (Applications of the 4th Quadrant)
 +    * Review of Methodologies and Possible Scenarios For Conducting Vulnerability Assessments to Climate Change , G.J.Nasr,  United Nations Economic and Social Commission, 2009
 + 
 +  * INSURANCE
 +    * Black Swans or Black Holes, Gerry Smedinghoff, Contingencies, May-Jun 2008
 + 
 +  * EDUCATION
 +    * In Search of Singular Insight, Gary Thomas, 2009
 +    * In Search of the Black Swans, Mark Buchanan, Physics World, 2009 (about the publish and perish problem)
 + 
 + 
 + 
 + 
 + 
  
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