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future_fabulators:analogs_framework [2014-02-12 00:59] – created maja | future_fabulators:analogs_framework [2014-03-04 06:59] (current) – maja | ||
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==== Analogs Framework ==== | ==== Analogs Framework ==== | ||
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+ | Analogs Framework assumes that present situations always have one or more analog situations in the past. An interesting starting point to bring in historical discussions in scenario building. | ||
< | < | ||
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* Chronological Proportionality. Dramatic events take our attention away from what's really going on. | * Chronological Proportionality. Dramatic events take our attention away from what's really going on. | ||
* Unintended Consequences: | * Unintended Consequences: | ||
- | * Policy Insignificance. What policy people do is often not the main event at all. </ | + | * Policy Insignificance. What policy people do is often not the main event at all. |
+ | Historians, he said, can bring a well supported, authoritative, | ||
http:// | http:// |