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| future_fabulators:analogs_framework [2014-02-12 01:01] – maja | future_fabulators:analogs_framework [2014-03-04 06:59] (current) – maja |
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| ==== Analogs Framework ==== | ==== Analogs Framework ==== |
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| | Analogs Framework assumes that present situations always have one or more analog situations in the past. An interesting starting point to bring in historical discussions in scenario building. |
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| <blockquote>Does that mean that radically new situations must be dealt with without referring to the past experience? In their book, “Thinking in time”, Richard E. Neustadt and Ernest R. May think not. They argue that there is always an analog, ie a past situation decision makers can refer to, but on the conditions that the similarities and differences with the present situation be clearly understood. | <blockquote>Does that mean that radically new situations must be dealt with without referring to the past experience? In their book, “Thinking in time”, Richard E. Neustadt and Ernest R. May think not. They argue that there is always an analog, ie a past situation decision makers can refer to, but on the conditions that the similarities and differences with the present situation be clearly understood. |
maja