“Cognitive biases are tendencies to think in certain ways. Cognitive biases can lead to systematic deviations from a standard of rationality or good judgment, and are often studied in psychology and behavioral economics.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases

Various cognitive and social biases can effect our thinking, reasoning and understanding of the parallel present and possible futures. How do we work with assumptions and misunderstanding as givens?

• attempt to treat 'facts' as 'assumptions' in scenario methods
• Possibly https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias_mitigation
• be aware of related common misconceptions
• see also affective forecasting