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future_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-11 04:50] – majafuture_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-11 07:04] – maja
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   * [[:prediction_markets]]   * [[:prediction_markets]]
   * can we use predictions to help separate/isolate important, predictable events within a "A Nonpredictive View of the World"? (cf. fragility -> robustness -> antifragility)   * can we use predictions to help separate/isolate important, predictable events within a "A Nonpredictive View of the World"? (cf. fragility -> robustness -> antifragility)
-  * what is the question? can it be answered diceisively at a particualr point in the future? what is at stake? what are the consequences or impacts?+  * what is the question? can it be answered decisively at a particular point in the future? what is at stake? what are the consequences or impacts?
  
 ==== internal / irrational ==== ==== internal / irrational ====
   * divination / invocation   * divination / invocation
 +
 +
 +====formalised decision making====
 +
 +A lot of the scenario planning process has to do with [[Formalised Decision Making]] and how this is done in groups. 
 +
  
 ==== present / future ==== ==== present / future ====
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 Key question Key question
 +  * what are good questions to ask?
 +    * [[http://www.scribd.com/doc/18675626/Art-of-Powerful-Questions|The art of powerful questions]]
   * how to better structure/encourage designing the core question?    * how to better structure/encourage designing the core question? 
 +    * [[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Questions_%28game%29|questions game]]
   * how can we encourage an 'inquiring state of mind'?   * how can we encourage an 'inquiring state of mind'?
   * why does it seem more difficult to phrase questions rather than stating problems?   * why does it seem more difficult to phrase questions rather than stating problems?
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 Mapping the present situation Mapping the present situation
   * what are different ways to map-out the present situation surrounding the key question?   * what are different ways to map-out the present situation surrounding the key question?
 +    * [[KPUU Framework]]
   * when is this step necessary? when can it be reduced/removed?   * when is this step necessary? when can it be reduced/removed?
   * does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist?   * does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist?
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 Key factors Key factors
   * how to best visualise and cluster the relationships between key factors   * how to best visualise and cluster the relationships between key factors
 +    * "interrogate anomalies:  data or incidents that seem anomalous - that somehow “don’t fit”, seem weird or don’t make sense, should receive immediate attention.  They could be pointers to a shift in the system as a whole" From: http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/10/04/crafting-non-linear-strategy-the-nature-of-the-problem/#more-799
   * are we talking only about success criteria here?   * are we talking only about success criteria here?
  
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      * Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have "more" introspection in some sense.      * Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have "more" introspection in some sense.
      * [[http://criticallegalthinking.com/2013/05/14/accelerate-manifesto-for-an-accelerationist-politics/|Accelerationist manifesto]]: "The fu­ture must be cracked open once again, un­fastening our ho­ri­zons to­wards the uni­versal pos­sib­il­ities of the Outside."      * [[http://criticallegalthinking.com/2013/05/14/accelerate-manifesto-for-an-accelerationist-politics/|Accelerationist manifesto]]: "The fu­ture must be cracked open once again, un­fastening our ho­ri­zons to­wards the uni­versal pos­sib­il­ities of the Outside."
 +     * Rekto:Verso over de toekomst: http://www.rektoverso.be/tijdschriftnummer/nr-58-oktober-november-2013
  
 ==== via Lies Declerck ==== ==== via Lies Declerck ====
  • future_fabulators/confabulation.txt
  • Last modified: 2015-05-20 10:10
  • by nik