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| future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 07:29] – created maja | future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 15:23] – michka | ||
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| ==== Food Horizons ==== | ==== Food Horizons ==== | ||
| - | a page to collect drivers of change related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http:// | + | a page to collect drivers of change |
| + | |||
| + | eg. | ||
| + | https:// | ||
| + | http:// | ||
| + | |||
| + | ====misc/ | ||
| + | |||
| + | * e.g. http:// | ||
| + | * e.g. https:// | ||
| + | * infographics from foodnetwork http:// | ||
| + | * historical changes in ingredients http:// | ||
| + | * "The Honeywell Kitchen Computer or H316 [...] represented the first time a computer was offered as a consumer product." | ||
| + | * " | ||
| + | * "A Work in Progress: Notes on Food, Cooking and Creativity" | ||
| + | * " | ||
| + | * network analysis " | ||
| + | * general principles of cooking with coconut milk. http:// | ||
| + | * An app for flavour profiling. https:// | ||
| + | |||
| + | ====Trends per Type==== | ||
| + | |||
| + | For < 50 years. | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Social=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Technological=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Development of " | ||
| + | * Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger) > only for very rich people, with unknown impact on health | ||
| + | * Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share > probable adverse health effects, such as cancers [Gilles Seralini] | ||
| + | * Existing minority, stable or decreasing, of small-scale sustainable farmers, holding the know-how for a potential rise after collapse. | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Environmental=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere > increased systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines; potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. | ||
| + | * Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. | ||
| + | * Increase of desertification > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people, adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. | ||
| + | * Climate change | ||
| + | * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity; when combined with hyper-specialization | ||
| + | * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide. | ||
| + | * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of available food crops; reduced resilience to change in seasinal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. | ||
| + | * Decrease of available energetic resources > Increase on " | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Economical=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Increased globalization of economy | ||
| + | * Prevalence of large-scale over small-scale food production > environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction of soil fertility | ||
| + | * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends); what happens when transport becomes more expensive ? | ||
| + | * Increased financiarisation of economy | ||
| + | * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food | ||
| + | * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Demographic=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Increase of global population > More food needed | ||
| + | * Increase of urban population | ||
| + | * Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens > Increase resource depletion | ||
| + | * Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Cultural=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?) | ||
| + | * Prevalent cultural impact to the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...) | ||
| + | * Moderate rise of GASAPs, Slow Food & Organic Food movements | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Political=== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking | ||
| + | * Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking. | ||
| + | |||
| + | ===Boiling it down=== | ||
maja