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future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-02 08:57] – nik | future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-02 09:34] – michka | ||
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* > unknown health effects | * > unknown health effects | ||
- | * Existing minority, stable or decreasing, of small-scale sustainable farmers > preserving bio- and techno-diversity > increasing resilience to environmental crisis negative effects. | + | * Existing minority, stable or decreasing, of small-scale sustainable farmers |
* Appearance of luxury technofood (like [[http:// | * Appearance of luxury technofood (like [[http:// | ||
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===Environmental=== | ===Environmental=== | ||
- | | + | |
* > increasing systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines | * > increasing systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines | ||
* > potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. | * > potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. | ||
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* Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. | * Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. | ||
- | | + | |
* Climate change | * Climate change | ||
- | * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, | + | * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, |
- | * > localized | + | * > localized food scarcity; |
- | * > when combined with hyper-specialization of food crops per location (see Economical | + | * > when combined with hyper-specialization of food crops per location (see Economic |
* Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide. | * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide. | ||
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* > geopolitical instability. | * > geopolitical instability. | ||
- | ===Economical=== | + | |
+ | {{ar5_fig_spm_2a.png}} | ||
+ | |||
+ | IPCC AR5 WG2 Figure SPM.2a | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Economic=== | ||
* Increased globalization of economy | * Increased globalization of economy | ||
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* > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; | * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; | ||
* > geopolitical instability. | * > geopolitical instability. | ||
- | * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends) > potentially massive scarcity of a essential food crops > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted | + | * Hyper-[[http:// |
* > starvation for specific locations & poor people; | * > starvation for specific locations & poor people; | ||
* > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; | * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; | ||
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===Demographic=== | ===Demographic=== | ||
- | * Increase of global population > more food needed > combined with reduction of soil availability & fertility, reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. | + | * Increase of global population > more food needed > combined with reduction of soil availability & fertility, reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + food heavily polluted |
* Increase of urban population | * Increase of urban population | ||
- | * Massive amount of energy | + | * Massive amount of energy |
* > increase energetic resource depletion rate (also needed for industrial food production) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food | * > increase energetic resource depletion rate (also needed for industrial food production) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food | ||
* > starvation for specific locations & poor people | * > starvation for specific locations & poor people |