A scenario building workshop with nine researchers from Madeira Interactive Technologies Institute, 20140116-17.

In this two-day workshop the participants asked themselves what are possible futures for an academic institution such as M-ITI and what might be their “raison d'être” in the years to come. At present, research institutions are stretched between fierce competition, bureaucratic inertia, job (in)security and a strong desire to create a culture of sharing and innovation - a culture from which transformative experiences can emerge, enabling people to live the best possible lives in harmony with their environments. What is M-ITI like in this context, how will European Research Area (ERA) develop and what impact will its future have on M-ITI? What is the profile of the person who could become the interface between M-ITI and ERA? How would this person work in the existing M-ITI context and team?

M-ITI website
EraChair website

The core question for the participants of the workshop was “Why should M-ITI exist?”

NOTE: The workshop focused specifically on M-ITI, but the scenarios have been written as possible futures for research institutes in general.

• Availability of resources (financial, infrastructure…)
• Attractive environment for top people committed to M-ITI culture
• Clarity of research scope
• Close & fertile relationships with wider networks (partners, university, publishing in top conferences)
• Public outreach (communication, relevance, perception…)

A selection from identified macro trends:

• Globalisation & international collaboration (diversity / inequality)
• Sustainability and challenging degradation of environment, pollution and energy security
• Innovation outside of academia, citizen science
• Behavioural change towards more sustainable lifestyles, through technology
• Growing communities of practice around emerging technologies (maker cultures, DIY-tech dev…)
• Social isolation (including aging)
• Political inertia and the rise of e-democracy
• Permanent economic crisis
• Innovation in Sensing technologies

The participants found the following trends and factors extremely important for the core question:

• Commitment to M-ITI Culture
• Relationships with wider networks
• Globalisation (both positive and negative aspects, such as diversity and inequality)
• Publishing in top HCI conferences
• Providing an attractive environment for top people
• Innovation outside of academia
• Emerging communities of practice around technology
• Sustainability and behavioural change

Two scenario axes (critical uncertainties):

• Is the research institute an attractive environment for top researchers?
• How committed are these researchers to (developing) the organisational culture of the institute?

When plotted as the two scenario axes, the following possible futures were revealed:

• particle accelerator
• further
• zombie swamp
• beer club

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