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| future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-18 06:13] – maja | future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-19 05:52] – [Prototyping] maja | ||
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| More methods are described in the Futures Research Methodologies [[http:// | More methods are described in the Futures Research Methodologies [[http:// | ||
| + | Finally, an interesting avenue to explore are remote scenario planning workshops using various online collaboration tools. Jamais Cascio describes [[http:// | ||
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| + | ---- | ||
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| * Interviews, questionnaires for participants beforehand | * Interviews, questionnaires for participants beforehand | ||
| * Collective horizon scanning (facilitators, | * Collective horizon scanning (facilitators, | ||
| + | * Insight meditation | ||
| * ... | * ... | ||
| Line 70: | Line 75: | ||
| * [[https:// | * [[https:// | ||
| - | //How can we encourage an 'inquiring | + | Questions |
| Why does it seem more difficult to phrase questions rather than stating problems? | Why does it seem more difficult to phrase questions rather than stating problems? | ||
| Line 88: | Line 93: | ||
| //What does a ' | //What does a ' | ||
| - | + | A few ideas on [[non_predictive_strategy]] | |
| //When does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist?// | //When does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist?// | ||
| Line 99: | Line 104: | ||
| //What are different ways to visualise and cluster the relationships between key factors// | //What are different ways to visualise and cluster the relationships between key factors// | ||
| - | * Affinity diagram | + | * [[https:// |
| + | * [[https:// | ||
| * [[http:// | * [[http:// | ||
| * " | * " | ||
| Line 119: | Line 125: | ||
| * See various methods on the [[horizon scanning]] page | * See various methods on the [[horizon scanning]] page | ||
| - | * should we make our own STEEP (or related) cards to avoid the ' | + | * should we make our own STEEP (or related) cards to avoid the ' |
| - | * are there other well understood methods to group trends other than the customary STEEP (in which cultural changes seem to be clumped in with social or political)? | + | * are there other well understood methods to group trends other than the customary STEEP (in which cultural changes seem to be clumped in with social or political)? |
| * is there another way to look at large scale changes aside from trends (without having to do a PhD in each of the changes)? | * is there another way to look at large scale changes aside from trends (without having to do a PhD in each of the changes)? | ||
| * how effective are these methods and how can we usefully evalute them? | * how effective are these methods and how can we usefully evalute them? | ||
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| ==== Ranking critical uncertainties ==== | ==== Ranking critical uncertainties ==== | ||
| - | * what are different ways in which this is done by others? | + | * what are different ways in which this is done by others? |
| * [[http:// | * [[http:// | ||
| Line 139: | Line 145: | ||
| | | ||
| * [[Morphological Analysis]] could be a great way to work with a large number of clustered drivers, that can be combined in different ways to select a smaller set of important and/or quickly create basic scenario skeletons. The foodprints ruler from FoAM Nordica works on a similar principle. " | * [[Morphological Analysis]] could be a great way to work with a large number of clustered drivers, that can be combined in different ways to select a smaller set of important and/or quickly create basic scenario skeletons. The foodprints ruler from FoAM Nordica works on a similar principle. " | ||
| - | |||
| * More on [[Field Anomaly Relaxation]] | * More on [[Field Anomaly Relaxation]] | ||
| - | (After reading several papers about this, I wonder what is the difference between MA and FAR?-maja) | + | (After reading several papers about MA/FAR, I wonder what is the difference between MA and FAR?) |
| //How to better structure building scenario skeletons with guiding questions (which questions could be generalised)?// | //How to better structure building scenario skeletons with guiding questions (which questions could be generalised)?// | ||
| Line 149: | Line 154: | ||
| ==== From scenarios to story-worlds ==== | ==== From scenarios to story-worlds ==== | ||
| - | * what techniques can we use to flesh out the scenarios into interesting stories | + | * what techniques can we use to flesh out the scenarios into interesting stories? |
| - | * what elements do we need in a scenario | + | * [[https:// |
| - | * how to create rich characters and meaningful plots? | + | * [[https:// |
| + | * "a day in the life of..." (a character | ||
| + | |||
| ==== Retrocasting ==== | ==== Retrocasting ==== | ||
| Line 178: | Line 186: | ||
| ==== Visualising ==== | ==== Visualising ==== | ||
| - | * which methods could we use to visualise | + | // |
| + | * moodboards | ||
| + | * collages | ||
| + | * storyboard | ||
| + | * newspaper with headlines | ||
| + | * video mix | ||
| + | * [[|https:// | ||
| ==== Prototyping ==== | ==== Prototyping ==== | ||
| * which methods could we use to prototype possible futures? | * which methods could we use to prototype possible futures? | ||
| + | |||
| + | More on [[possible_futures_parallel_presents]] and [[experiential futures]] | ||
| ==== Prehearsals ==== | ==== Prehearsals ==== | ||
| Line 189: | Line 205: | ||
| * how to host them? | * how to host them? | ||
| * how to evaluate them? | * how to evaluate them? | ||
| + | |||
| + | continue research on [[prehearsal methods]] | ||
| ==== Follow-up ==== | ==== Follow-up ==== | ||
nik