Differences

This shows you the differences between two versions of the page.

Link to this comparison view

Both sides previous revision Previous revision
Next revision		 Previous revision
Next revisionBoth sides next revision
future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-19 05:44] – majafuture_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-19 06:21] – [Analysis, Summaries and comparisons] nik
Line 32: Line 32:
  
 Finally, an interesting avenue to explore are remote scenario planning workshops using various online collaboration tools. Jamais Cascio describes [[http://www.openthefuture.com/2007/01/the_virtual_workshop_or_how_to.html|here]] how he conducted a virtual scenario workshop, Noah Raford describes another [[http://noahraford.com/?p=414|experiment]] in [[http://news.noahraford.com/?p=650|online scenario planning]]. Finally, an interesting avenue to explore are remote scenario planning workshops using various online collaboration tools. Jamais Cascio describes [[http://www.openthefuture.com/2007/01/the_virtual_workshop_or_how_to.html|here]] how he conducted a virtual scenario workshop, Noah Raford describes another [[http://noahraford.com/?p=414|experiment]] in [[http://news.noahraford.com/?p=650|online scenario planning]].
 +
 +
 +----
 +
  
 Below we explore different elements of scenario building, ask questions that emerged from our practice and investigate methods that might be used to improve the process. Below we explore different elements of scenario building, ask questions that emerged from our practice and investigate methods that might be used to improve the process.
Line 194: Line 198:
   * which methods could we use to prototype possible futures?   * which methods could we use to prototype possible futures?
  
-More on [[possible_futures_parallel_presents]] and [[experiential futurism]]+More on [[possible_futures_parallel_presents]] and [[experiential futures]]
  
 ==== Prehearsals ==== ==== Prehearsals ====
Line 219: Line 223:
 From: [[https://www.emeraldinsight.com/journals.htm?articleid=1558553&show=html|Identifying systems' new initial conditions as influence points for the future]] From: [[https://www.emeraldinsight.com/journals.htm?articleid=1558553&show=html|Identifying systems' new initial conditions as influence points for the future]]
  
 +==== Analysis, Summaries and comparisons====
 +
 +Using four different scenario building methods: the 2x2 matrix approach; causal layered analysis; the Manoa approach; and the scenario archetypes approach. "This exploratory comparison confirmed that different scenario generation methods yield not only different narratives and insights, but qualitatively different participant experiences. "
 +
 +Curry, Andrew and Wendy Schultz (2009), “Roads Less Travelled,” Journal of Futures Studies, Vol. 13(4). http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/13-4/AE03.pdf
 +
 +
 +"The paper to review all the techniques for developing scenarios that have appeared in the literature, along with comments on their utility, strengths and weaknesses. [...] eight categories of techniques that include a total of 23 variations used to develop scenarios. There are descriptions and evaluations for each."
  
 +Bishop, Peter, Andy Hines and Terry Collins (2007), “The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques,” Foresight, Vol. 9(1).
 +http://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/aboutus/whatwedo/PolicyAnalysis/UKHigherEducation/Futures/Documents/current_state_of_scenario_development_FORESIGHT.pdf
  • future_fabulators/scenario_methods.txt
  • Last modified: 2023-05-08 11:38
  • by nik