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| future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-26 05:41] – maja | future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-26 05:43] – [Four Generic Futures] maja |
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| - Generating techniques: generation of ideas and collection of data (surveys, Delphi, workshops) | - Generating techniques: generation of ideas and collection of data (surveys, Delphi, workshops) |
| - Integrating techniques: combining parts into wholes (time-series analysis, explanatory modelling, optimised modelling) | - Integrating techniques: combining parts into wholes (time-series analysis, explanatory modelling, optimised modelling) |
| - Consistency techniques: checking the consistency of scenarios (cross impact analysis, morphological field analysis)</blockquote> | - Consistency techniques: checking the consistency of scenarios (cross impact analysis, morphological field analysis) |
| | </blockquote> |
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| <html><a href="https://www.emeraldinsight.com/content_images/fig/2730110302004.png"><img src="https://www.emeraldinsight.com/content_images/fig/2730110302004.png" width="400"></a></html> <html><a href="http://www.mepss.nl/tools/w07-fig1.gif"><img src="http://www.mepss.nl/tools/w07-fig1.gif"></a></html> | <html><a href="https://www.emeraldinsight.com/content_images/fig/2730110302004.png"><img src="https://www.emeraldinsight.com/content_images/fig/2730110302004.png" width="400"></a></html> <html><a href="http://www.mepss.nl/tools/w07-fig1.gif"><img src="http://www.mepss.nl/tools/w07-fig1.gif"></a></html> |
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| ==== Four Generic Futures ==== | === Four Generic Futures === |
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| <blockquote> Our use of "alternative futures" (or "scenarios") is usually within the context of helping an organization or community plan for and move towards its preferred future. (...) I have chosen to explain our use of alternative futures as though I were telling an interested community or organization what the components of a futures visioning process are in our understanding and experience, and how to conduct the various parts of an overall futures visioning process.</blockquote> | <blockquote> Our use of "alternative futures" (or "scenarios") is usually within the context of helping an organization or community plan for and move towards its preferred future. (...) I have chosen to explain our use of alternative futures as though I were telling an interested community or organization what the components of a futures visioning process are in our understanding and experience, and how to conduct the various parts of an overall futures visioning process.</blockquote> |
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