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--- future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-02-26 06:00] – maja
+++ future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2014-03-01 05:29] – [Scenarios] maja
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-Anna Maria Orru and David Relan wrote [[:/resilients/scenario_symphony|The Scenario Symphony]] for the Resilients project, containing a whole range of scenario creation methods and techniques, including the dynamic [[:/resilients/from_pan_to_panarchy|panarchy]] and [[:/resilients/temporal model]].
+Anna Maria Orru and David Relan wrote [[:/resilients/scenario_symphony|The Scenario Symphony]] for the Resilients project, containing a whole range of scenario creation methods and techniques, including the dynamic [[:/resilients/from_pan_to_panarchy|panarchy]] and [[:/resilients/temporal model]]. It's interesting to compare it to the "Four Generic Futures" method above.
 <html><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/foam/8480321093/" title="figure5 by _foam, on Flickr"><img src="https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8505/8480321093_4d0379e220_c.jpg" width="800" height="354" alt="figure5"></a></html>
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 //How to better structure building scenario skeletons with guiding questions (which questions could be generalised)?//
+One suggestion (not sure about all of the focus on problems):
+<blockquote>
+A. General discussion of your future
+  * What will most people be doing in such a world?
+  * What economic problems that worry people now will be gone, or relatively minor?
+  * What environmental problems that worry people now will be gone, or relatively minor?
+  * What other problems that worry people now will be gone, or relatively minor? What new (economic, environmental, social, health, energy or other) problems will people have to worry about that are absent or unimportant now?
+B. How probable (likely to actually occur) is the future described in your scenario?
+C. How preferable is the future described in your scenario? That is, how close is it to your own preferred future?
+D. To the extent the future described in your scenario is judged preferable by your group, what five things need to be done now to move towards those desirable aspects of that future?
+E. To the extent the future described in your scenario is judged undesirable by your group, what five things need to be done now to see that those undesirable aspects not occur?
+</blockquote>
+From [[http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/14-2/A01.pdf|Alternative Futures at The Manoa School]] by Jim Dator
 have a look at the CLA or the [[http://www.slideshare.net/wendyinfutures/summary-of-verge-ethnographic-futures-framework-devised-by-richard-lum-and-michele-bowman|Ethnographic Futures Framework]] (Bowman & Schultz, 2005),