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future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2019-03-19 20:16] – majafuture_fabulators:scenario_methods [2023-05-08 11:38] (current) – nik
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 An overview of [[https://apf.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2015-SE-Compass-MethodsAnthology.pdf|scenario methods for strategy]] An overview of [[https://apf.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2015-SE-Compass-MethodsAnthology.pdf|scenario methods for strategy]]
  
-Most scenario methods revolve around approximately similar phases: (1) delineating the space/issue/question (2) identifying elements of the scenario (factors, drivers, trends, measures, actors, events...) 3) selecting a reasonable amount of elements and creating a 'scenario logic' 4) combining (forecasting, projecting, extrapolating, visioning...) the elements into (different) scenarios and 5) using scenarios to (re)design decisions, strategies and actions in the present. Or, as Chris Stewart proposes: Input, Analysis, Interpretation and Application:+Most scenario methods revolve around approximately similar phases:  
 +  * 1) delineating the space/issue/question  
 +  * 2) identifying elements of the scenario (factors, drivers, trends, measures, actors, events...)  
 +  * 3) selecting a reasonable amount of elements and creating a 'scenario logic'  
 +  * 4) combining (forecasting, projecting, extrapolating, visioning...) the elements into (different) scenarios and  
 +  * 5) using scenarios to (re)design decisions, strategies and actions in the present.  
 + 
 +Or, as Chris Stewart proposes: Input, Analysis, Interpretation and Application
  
 {{:future_fabulators:screen_shot_2014-03-03_at_16.43.05.png?direct|}} {{:future_fabulators:screen_shot_2014-03-03_at_16.43.05.png?direct|}}

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