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| futurist_fieldguide:future_mundane [2015-04-03 14:47] – created maja | futurist_fieldguide:future_mundane [2015-05-20 14:02] (current) – alkan | ||
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| - | ===The Future Mundane=== | + | ==== The Future Mundane |
| (extracted from 'Where to find everyday futures?' | (extracted from 'Where to find everyday futures?' | ||
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| The believable reality can have different positions in the “cone of possibility”4 that distinguishes between the probable, plausible and possible futures; the probable is closest to our everyday present and is likely to come to pass if nothing much changes; the plausible is in the conceptual middle distance; and the possible on the outer fringes. The Winning Formula seems probable at the surface, but several plausible, possible and even unlikely scenarios hide in plain sight if the reader pays attention. When picked up, it seems ordinary and strangely familiar, but for those who dig deeper it reveals details that could not exist just yet, but are looming over the horizon. | The believable reality can have different positions in the “cone of possibility”4 that distinguishes between the probable, plausible and possible futures; the probable is closest to our everyday present and is likely to come to pass if nothing much changes; the plausible is in the conceptual middle distance; and the possible on the outer fringes. The Winning Formula seems probable at the surface, but several plausible, possible and even unlikely scenarios hide in plain sight if the reader pays attention. When picked up, it seems ordinary and strangely familiar, but for those who dig deeper it reveals details that could not exist just yet, but are looming over the horizon. | ||
| - | {{edit and revoicing required}} | + | //(edit and revoicing required)// |
maja