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| futurist_fieldguide:futures_wheel [2015-06-02 16:11] – created maja | futurist_fieldguide:futures_wheel [2025-06-20 16:28] (current) – nik | ||
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| The futures wheel is a visual representation of connections between trends or change drivers and their (future) consequences or implications. It is a [[mind map]] with the topic of discussion in the centre; the primary drivers in the first circle around the centre and the further implications branching outward from each driver. The connections between the drivers produce further implications. This diagramming technique is useful in discussions about change drivers and emerging issues, when it's important to look at their interrelationships on their relationships and effects. There are of course many interconnected drivers in the world and the futures wheel can help to select most relevant ones. Another benefit is that they clearly show how they connect to the central issue (directly or indirectly), | The futures wheel is a visual representation of connections between trends or change drivers and their (future) consequences or implications. It is a [[mind map]] with the topic of discussion in the centre; the primary drivers in the first circle around the centre and the further implications branching outward from each driver. The connections between the drivers produce further implications. This diagramming technique is useful in discussions about change drivers and emerging issues, when it's important to look at their interrelationships on their relationships and effects. There are of course many interconnected drivers in the world and the futures wheel can help to select most relevant ones. Another benefit is that they clearly show how they connect to the central issue (directly or indirectly), | ||
| - | < | + | {{futurist_fieldguide:1024px-futures_wheel_01.svg.png}} |
| === Process === | === Process === | ||
| - | Prepare several tables where different drivers will be discussed.You can choose specific drivers/ | + | Prepare several tables where different drivers will be discussed.You can choose specific drivers/ |
| - | Step 1: Frame the session as a visual | + | Step 1: Frame the session as a visual |
| - | Step 1a: (optional): If you have predefined | + | Step 1a: (optional): If you have multiple |
| Step 1b: If you don't have predefined topics, you can first discuss and distill a small number of key drivers before you begin the futures wheel or decide to use [[STEEP]] categories and look at key drivers per category. | Step 1b: If you don't have predefined topics, you can first discuss and distill a small number of key drivers before you begin the futures wheel or decide to use [[STEEP]] categories and look at key drivers per category. | ||
| - | Step 2: Discuss which trends or weak signals are you aware of in the present, that could impact the issue/ | + | Step 2: Discuss which trends or weak signals are you aware of in the present that could impact the issue/ |
| - | Step 3: Create a branching | + | Step 3: Create a branching |
| - | Step 4: Find connections between primary drivers and describe the secondary effects that their connection might produce | + | Step 4: Find connections between primary drivers and describe the secondary effects that their connection might produce. |
| Step 4a: Look at possible connections between secondary (and further) effects and the consequences of their interactions. | Step 4a: Look at possible connections between secondary (and further) effects and the consequences of their interactions. | ||
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| * [[https:// | * [[https:// | ||
| * [[http:// | * [[http:// | ||
| + | * [[https:// | ||
| + | * [[https:// | ||