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futurist_fieldguide:futures_wheel [2015-06-03 09:00] alkanfuturist_fieldguide:futures_wheel [2025-06-20 16:28] (current) nik
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 The futures wheel is a visual representation of connections between trends or change drivers and their (future) consequences or implications. It is a [[mind map]] with the topic of discussion in the centre; the primary drivers in the first circle around the centre and the further implications branching outward from each driver. The connections between the drivers produce further implications. This diagramming technique is useful in discussions about change drivers and emerging issues, when it's important to look at their interrelationships on their relationships and effects. There are of course many interconnected drivers in the world and the futures wheel can help to select most relevant ones. Another benefit is that they clearly show how they connect to the central issue (directly or indirectly), as well as what their prerequisites and consequences might be. The futures wheel is a visual representation of connections between trends or change drivers and their (future) consequences or implications. It is a [[mind map]] with the topic of discussion in the centre; the primary drivers in the first circle around the centre and the further implications branching outward from each driver. The connections between the drivers produce further implications. This diagramming technique is useful in discussions about change drivers and emerging issues, when it's important to look at their interrelationships on their relationships and effects. There are of course many interconnected drivers in the world and the futures wheel can help to select most relevant ones. Another benefit is that they clearly show how they connect to the central issue (directly or indirectly), as well as what their prerequisites and consequences might be.
  
-<html><a href="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/5/58/Futures_wheel_01.svg/1024px-Futures_wheel_01.svg.png"><img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/5/58/Futures_wheel_01.svg/1024px-Futures_wheel_01.svg.png" width="500"></a></html>+{{futurist_fieldguide:1024px-futures_wheel_01.svg.png}}
  
 === Process === === Process ===
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 Step 1a: (optional): If you have multiple predefined drivers or categories, and/or a large group, you can run this session as a [[world cafe]] on several tables with multiple rounds (so that everyone gets a chance to discuss several if not all drivers). Each table has a designated moderator. The moderator stays at the same table for all rounds. Step 1a: (optional): If you have multiple predefined drivers or categories, and/or a large group, you can run this session as a [[world cafe]] on several tables with multiple rounds (so that everyone gets a chance to discuss several if not all drivers). Each table has a designated moderator. The moderator stays at the same table for all rounds.
  
-Step 1b: If you don't have predefined topics, you can first discuss and distil a small number of key drivers before you begin the futures wheel or decide to use [[STEEP]] categories and look at key drivers per category.+Step 1b: If you don't have predefined topics, you can first discuss and distill a small number of key drivers before you begin the futures wheel or decide to use [[STEEP]] categories and look at key drivers per category.
  
 Step 2: Discuss which trends or weak signals are you aware of in the present that could impact the issue/situation the group is exploring. Select 3--5 primary drivers that have a definite impact and connect them radially to the centre. Step 2: Discuss which trends or weak signals are you aware of in the present that could impact the issue/situation the group is exploring. Select 3--5 primary drivers that have a definite impact and connect them radially to the centre.
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   * [[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_wheel|On Wikipedia]]   * [[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_wheel|On Wikipedia]]
   * [[http://www.slideshare.net/wendyinfutures/futures-tools-scanning-futures-wheels-verge|Futures Wheel explained by Wendy Schultz]]   * [[http://www.slideshare.net/wendyinfutures/futures-tools-scanning-futures-wheels-verge|Futures Wheel explained by Wendy Schultz]]
 +  * [[https://medium.com/practical-futuring/mapping-impacts-and-implications-74e737312191|Impact Wheel explained by Changeist]]
 +  * [[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/561274a7e4b0671bb41d839f/t/5f47b2c4032843199a9779dd/1598534348949/Impact+Wheel+Canvas+%5BA4%5D.pdf|Impact Wheel Canvas by Changeist]]