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| futurist_fieldguide:kpuu_framework [2015-05-20 13:25] – alkan | futurist_fieldguide:kpuu_framework [2015-05-20 13:59] – alkan |
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| ===== Known, presumed, unknown, unknowable (KPUU) Framework ===== | ==== Known, presumed, unknown, unknowable (KPUU) Framework ==== |
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| KPUU Framework is a structured technique to think about and discuss the present, based on what is known, presumed, unknown and unknowable. KPUU helps distinguish facts from assumptions, uncover what the participants don't know, and define what is unknowable at this time. The framework was developed by [[http://silberzahnjones.com/|Silberzahn & Jones]], based on the [[:/future_fabulators/analogs_framework|analogs framework]] of historian Ernest May and political scientist Richard Neustadt: | KPUU Framework is a structured technique to think about and discuss the present, based on what is known, presumed, unknown and unknowable. KPUU helps distinguish facts from assumptions, uncover what the participants don't know, and define what is unknowable at this time. The framework was developed by [[http://silberzahnjones.com/|Silberzahn & Jones]], based on the [[:/future_fabulators/analogs_framework|analogs framework]] of historian Ernest May and political scientist Richard Neustadt: |
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| === Process === | == Process == |
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| The KPU(U) framework is a moderated discussion that guides the participants to separate what they know, presume and do not know about their present situation. Sufficient space is needed for everyone to sit in a semicircle facing a large writing surface (black/white board or a big sheet of paper). The surface should be divided into three or four columns. Something like this: | The KPU(U) framework is a moderated discussion that guides the participants to separate what they know, presume and do not know about their present situation. Sufficient space is needed for everyone to sit in a semicircle facing a large writing surface (black/white board or a big sheet of paper). The surface should be divided into three or four columns. Something like this: |
| * For the unknowable, ask: **How do we deal with uncertainty?** You may decide to either work around the unknowable or to actively shape the situation so the unknowable becomes irrelevant, or find a way to incorporate uncertainty in your work. | * For the unknowable, ask: **How do we deal with uncertainty?** You may decide to either work around the unknowable or to actively shape the situation so the unknowable becomes irrelevant, or find a way to incorporate uncertainty in your work. |
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| ==== References ==== | === References === |
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| * [[http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/11/15/a-simple-framework-to-develop-deep-strategic-understanding-in-uncertain-environments/|A simple framework to develop deep strategic understanding in uncertain environments]] by Silberzahn and Jones | * [[http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/11/15/a-simple-framework-to-develop-deep-strategic-understanding-in-uncertain-environments/|A simple framework to develop deep strategic understanding in uncertain environments]] by Silberzahn and Jones |
| * [[http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/06/27/crafting-non-predictive-strategy-part-1-close-observation-beats-prediction/|Non predictive Strategy]] by Silberzahn and Jones | * [[http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/06/27/crafting-non-predictive-strategy-part-1-close-observation-beats-prediction/|Non predictive Strategy]] by Silberzahn and Jones |
maja