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futurist_fieldguide:speculation_and_visioning [2015-05-20 12:46] – maja | futurist_fieldguide:speculation_and_visioning [2015-06-02 16:13] – maja | ||
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This section contains techniques that have fascinated humans for aeons. It covers ways to envision, project and speculate about what might happen in the future, based on what we know or assume about the past and present. We see these techniques as different types of lenses through which we can observe the complexities of reality as it unfolds. Whichever technique is applied, however (in)formally, | This section contains techniques that have fascinated humans for aeons. It covers ways to envision, project and speculate about what might happen in the future, based on what we know or assume about the past and present. We see these techniques as different types of lenses through which we can observe the complexities of reality as it unfolds. Whichever technique is applied, however (in)formally, | ||
- | * scenarios | + | * Scenario building |
- | * Four generic futures | + | * [[Four generic futures]] |
* [[2x2 uncertainty]] | * [[2x2 uncertainty]] | ||
* The futures cone / cone of possibility | * The futures cone / cone of possibility | ||
Line 10: | Line 10: | ||
* Manoa approach | * Manoa approach | ||
* Panarchy model | * Panarchy model | ||
- | | + | * [[Discovering |
- | | + | * [[Closed eye visioning]] |
- | * Design fiction cards (changeist) | + | * Divination |
- | * Cross impact analysis | + | |
- | * the mantic approach / divination | + | |
- | * geomancy | + | |
- | * tarot | + | |
* … | * … | ||