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| liminal_futures [2020-07-10 11:56] – jobook | liminal_futures [2020-07-17 08:32] – jobook |
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| ==== Liminal Futures ==== | ==== Liminal Futures ==== |
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| === Literature === | === Literature === |
| === Methods === | |
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| Collaborative Action Research \\ | https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/11/8-predictions-for-the-world-in-2030/ |
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| STEEP Analysis \\ | <blockquote>1. All products will have become services. “I don't own anything. I don't own a car. I don't own a house. I don't own any appliances or any clothes,” writes Danish MP Ida Auken. Shopping is a distant memory in the city of 2030, whose inhabitants have cracked clean energy and borrow what they need on demand. It sounds utopian, until she mentions that her every move is tracked and outside the city live swathes of discontents, the ultimate depiction of a society split in two.</blockquote> |
| https://ivto.org/steep-explained-foresight-cards/ | |
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| Deep Democracy \\ | Mansionism 1: Building-Milieu Fit https://www.ribbonfarm.com/series/mansionism/ |
| https://studiumgenerale.artez.nl/files/things/01379/200414MagazineCocreatingDeepDemocracykle.pdf | |
| https://studiumgenerale.artez.nl/nl/studies/all/blog/deep+democracy+for+a+good+conversation+a+better+conflict+and+the+best+decision/ | |
| http://www.aamindell.net/worldwork | |
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| | <blockquote>In politically turbulent times, when it is not clear which way the arc of history will bend, it is useful to reframe the question of political futures in terms of built-environment futures. Instead of asking, what kind of milieu will we inhabit, you ask the potentially easier question, what sort of built environment will we inhabit? You then try to infer the future of the milieu from that. The question can also be asked in more specific ways, such as what sorts of futures contain mansions? Besides allowing you to focus materially on what you likely really care about, such questions allow you to finesse more fraught political questions.</blockquote> |
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| === Tools === | Article from Changeist about how to keep your sensing abilities from getting overwhelmed - https://medium.com/practical-futuring/managing-abyss-gaze-in-a-time-of-difficult-futures-3836b464182e |
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| Online Collaboration | <blockquote> "actively sensing," or being someone who is generally always attuned and open to new signals, requires taking care of the equipment that allows you to do so.</blockquote> |
| https://pad.vvvvvvaria.org/digital-solidarity-networks | |
| https://bigbluebutton.org/ | |
| Group scenario mapping tools? | |
| https://miro.com/app/board/o9J_kuZplA8=/ | |
| https://app.wisemapping.com/c/maps/3/try | |
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| ===Phase II=== | |
| ===Interviews & Conversations=== | |
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| === Phase III=== | |
| === Analysis & Reflection=== | |
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| === Notes === | Breaking official futures. Susan Cox-Smith - Changeist - https://medium.com/practical-futuring/reexamining-official-futures-c7caef4f588c |
| <blockquote> "actively sensing," or being someone who is generally always attuned and open to new signals, requires taking care of the equipment that allows you to do so.</blockquote> | |
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| https://medium.com/practical-futuring/managing-abyss-gaze-in-a-time-of-difficult-futures-3836b464182e \\ | <blockquote>The stories we tell ourselves about the future, whether it’s the timelessness of a particular business model, the hegemony of an economic system, the durability of an ideology, or the boundaries of social or political acceptability can become barriers to change if they’re not periodically revisited, revised, and adapted for present realities which point to shifting future possibilities...</blockquote> |
| Article from Changeist about how to keep your sensing abilities from getting overwhelmed | |
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| - | <blockquote>Perhaps the best way to describe an official future is as a positive, up-and-to-the-right-forever mission statement.... |
| | </blockquote> |
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| (possible technique) | <blockquote>A more productive process is to frame a better question through researching the landscape of possible issues ahead that might influence or affect emergent futures, then, if appropriate, developing a few conceivable scenarios based on how future goals and the possible landscape might interact. This is the time to consider how best to navigate toward a preferred future in which those goals might be met within each scenario. </blockquote> |
| <blockquote> Futures Wheels, this tool helps illuminate pathways of change, by starting with an initial major change at the center, then working outward in steps of immediate first-order impacts, then from each of these, branching to second-order impacts, then third, or until you run out of space.</blockquote> | |
| https://medium.com/practical-futuring/mapping-impacts-and-implications-74e737312191 \\ | |
| Futures Wheel - a tool that might help bring some structure and logic to these bursts of distributed group ideation. | |
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| | <blockquote>Clinging to an official future not only leaves us with outdated beliefs and ineffective plans, but it potentially deprives many of us of the agency to realize the futures we want and deserve.</blockquote> |
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| Changeist futures wheel template:https://static1.squarespace.com/static/561274a7e4b0671bb41d839f/t/5e6e24f30f431516e192e3c9/1584276724550/Futures+Wheel+A2.pdf | |
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| _ | === Methods === |
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| Online tools: | Collaborative Action Research |
| http://www.gomoodboard.com | |
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| from [[https://libarynth.org/futurist_fieldguide/moodboards?s[]=futuring|Moodboards]] | STEEP Analysis |
| | * https://ivto.org/steep-explained-foresight-cards/ |
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| also maybe https://miro.com | Deep Democracy |
| | * https://studiumgenerale.artez.nl/files/things/01379/200414MagazineCocreatingDeepDemocracykle.pdf |
| | * https://studiumgenerale.artez.nl/nl/studies/all/blog/deep+democracy+for+a+good+conversation+a+better+conflict+and+the+best+decision/ |
| | * http://www.aamindell.net/worldwork |
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| - | |
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| Breaking official futures | === Tools === |
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| <blockquote>The stories we tell ourselves about the future, whether it’s the timelessness of a particular business model, the hegemony of an economic system, the durability of an ideology, or the boundaries of social or political acceptability can become barriers to change if they’re not periodically revisited, revised, and adapted for present realities which point to shifting future possibilities...</blockquote> | Online Collaboration |
| | * https://pad.vvvvvvaria.org/digital-solidarity-networks |
| | * https://bigbluebutton.org/ |
| | Group scenario mapping tools? |
| | * https://miro.com/app/board/o9J_kuZplA8=/ |
| | * https://app.wisemapping.com/c/maps/3/try |
| | * http://www.gomoodboard.com (from [[:futurist_fieldguide/moodboards|Moodboards]] |
| | Impact mapping |
| | * https://static1.squarespace.com/static/561274a7e4b0671bb41d839f/t/5e6e24f30f431516e192e3c9/1584276724550/Futures+Wheel+A2.pdf|Futures wheel template. Also about : https://medium.com/practical-futuring/mapping-impacts-and-implications-74e737312191 - Futures Wheels help illuminate pathways of change. |
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| <blockquote>Perhaps the best way to describe an official future is as a positive, up-and-to-the-right-forever mission statement.... | |
| </blockquote> | |
| |
| <blockquote>A more productive process is to frame a better question through researching the landscape of possible issues ahead that might influence or affect emergent futures, then, if appropriate, developing a few conceivable scenarios based on how future goals and the possible landscape might interact. This is the time to consider how best to navigate toward a preferred future in which those goals might be met within each scenario. </blockquote> | |
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| <blockquote>Clinging to an official future not only leaves us with outdated beliefs and ineffective plans, but it potentially deprives many of us of the agency to realize the futures we want and deserve.</blockquote> | ===Phase II=== |
| | ===Interviews & Conversations=== |
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| Susan Cox-Smith - Changeist | === Phase III=== |
| https://medium.com/practical-futuring/reexamining-official-futures-c7caef4f588c | === Analysis & Reflection=== |
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| === Tangent Notes === | === Notes === |
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| https://fo.am/publications/art-futuring/ | |
| https://studiumgenerale.artez.nl/files/things/01379/200414MagazineCocreatingDeepDemocracykle.pdf | === Tangent Notes === |
| https://fo.am/publications/futurists-fieldguide/ | * |
| https://extrapolationfactory.com/About | * https://fo.am/publications/art-futuring/ |
| https://libarynth.org/futurist_fieldguide/inhabiting_uncertainty | * https://studiumgenerale.artez.nl/files/things/01379/200414MagazineCocreatingDeepDemocracykle.pdf |
| https://playbook.noulab.org/mental-models/breath-pattern-divergence-emergence-convergence | * https://fo.am/publications/futurists-fieldguide/ and [[:futurist_fieldguide]] |
| https://www.zeitguised.com/about-0 | * https://extrapolationfactory.com/About |
| https://timesup.org/overview/processes_2012 | * https://libarynth.org/futurist_fieldguide/inhabiting_uncertainty |
| http://timesup.org/blogs | * https://playbook.noulab.org/mental-models/breath-pattern-divergence-emergence-convergence |
| https://loosediary.wordpress.com/2020/03/19/besseres-denken/ | * https://www.zeitguised.com/about-0 |
| https://www.changeist.com/ | * https://timesup.org/overview/processes_2012 |
| https://medium.com/phase-change/mapping-impacts-and-implications-74e737312191 | * http://timesup.org/blogs |
| https://libarynth.org/future_fabulators/scenario_methods | * https://loosediary.wordpress.com/2020/03/19/besseres-denken/ |
| https://futureeverything.org/project/entry/building-a-citizens-observatory/ | * https://www.changeist.com/ |
| https://www.resilience.org/stories/2020-03-18/coronavirus-degrowth-and-self-isolation/?fbclid=IwAR1yCXuTxRkyXXXfr7vojI-_ARuTInGPq0whHyudEeGMvPGrLUXWS-HO1F4 | * https://medium.com/phase-change/mapping-impacts-and-implications-74e737312191 |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aL3XGZ5rreE - Naomi Klein - The Shock Doctrine | * https://libarynth.org/future_fabulators/scenario_methods |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cfAmvdeZD4 - Some Bleak Circus | * https://futureeverything.org/project/entry/building-a-citizens-observatory/ |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HabyJi66l0w - Situation is way to serious to panic | * https://www.resilience.org/stories/2020-03-18/coronavirus-degrowth-and-self-isolation/?fbclid=IwAR1yCXuTxRkyXXXfr7vojI-_ARuTInGPq0whHyudEeGMvPGrLUXWS-HO1F4 |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfWIMPredyI - Zizek, there is no back to normal | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aL3XGZ5rreE - Naomi Klein - The Shock Doctrine |
| https://zizekanalysis.wordpress.com/2020/04/08/being-not-without-having-it-in-covid-19-times-hal-odetta/?fbclid=IwAR3j0xlQAlAnBhHGdNUtPWtbtlNp9t6XGrsQ0kEh6bag5xPRl83QeGSBqnw | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cfAmvdeZD4 - Some Bleak Circus |
| https://seekingalpha.com/article/4336075-coronavirus-pandemic-be-end-of-middle-class | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HabyJi66l0w - Situation is way to serious to panic |
| https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/06/coronavirus-fight-white-house-health-advisor-fauci-says-we-never-get-back-to-normal.html | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfWIMPredyI - Zizek, there is no back to normal |
| https://conversations.e-flux.com/t/beyond-the-breakdown-three-meditations-on-a-possible-aftermath-by-franco-bifo-berardi/9727 | * https://zizekanalysis.wordpress.com/2020/04/08/being-not-without-having-it-in-covid-19-times-hal-odetta/?fbclid=IwAR3j0xlQAlAnBhHGdNUtPWtbtlNp9t6XGrsQ0kEh6bag5xPRl83QeGSBqnw |
| https://www.orbooks.com/catalog/pandemic/ | * https://seekingalpha.com/article/4336075-coronavirus-pandemic-be-end-of-middle-class |
| https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/franz-kafkas-masterclass-on-social-distancing | * https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/06/coronavirus-fight-white-house-health-advisor-fauci-says-we-never-get-back-to-normal.html |
| https://m.focus.de/finanzen/boerse/experten/was-die-weltwirtschaft-noch-erwartet-corona-krise-wir-sind-erst-in-phase-2-von-4-am-ende-steht-die-systemfrage_id_11775960.html | * https://conversations.e-flux.com/t/beyond-the-breakdown-three-meditations-on-a-possible-aftermath-by-franco-bifo-berardi/9727 |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoRlMXFy5Mw | * https://www.orbooks.com/catalog/pandemic/ |
| https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 | * https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/franz-kafkas-masterclass-on-social-distancing |
| https://sandberg.nl/fellows-in-process-lectures-evening-by-hannes-grassegger-and-varia | * https://m.focus.de/finanzen/boerse/experten/was-die-weltwirtschaft-noch-erwartet-corona-krise-wir-sind-erst-in-phase-2-von-4-am-ende-steht-die-systemfrage_id_11775960.html |
| https://libarynth.org/foam_project_criteria | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoRlMXFy5Mw |
| http://thephilosophicalsalon.com/why-are-we-tired-all-the-time/ | * https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 |
| https://blog.p2pfoundation.net/no-new-normal/2020/04/02 | * https://sandberg.nl/fellows-in-process-lectures-evening-by-hannes-grassegger-and-varia |
| https://medium.com/aperiodic-mesmerism/thriving-in-uncertainty-d74b75020b05 | * https://libarynth.org/foam_project_criteria |
| https://makezine.com/2020/04/03/the-benefits-of-masks-for-all-to-fight-covid-19/ | * http://thephilosophicalsalon.com/why-are-we-tired-all-the-time/ |
| https://www.maltachamber.org.mt/en/the-malta-chamber---we-must-prepare-for-and-seize-the-opportunities-ahead | * https://blog.p2pfoundation.net/no-new-normal/2020/04/02 |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ssu743GYz0&feature=youtu.be Reading of Shy Radicals with HAMJA AHSAN | * https://medium.com/aperiodic-mesmerism/thriving-in-uncertainty-d74b75020b05 |
| | * https://makezine.com/2020/04/03/the-benefits-of-masks-for-all-to-fight-covid-19/ |
| | * https://www.maltachamber.org.mt/en/the-malta-chamber---we-must-prepare-for-and-seize-the-opportunities-ahead |
| | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ssu743GYz0&feature=youtu.be Reading of Shy Radicals with HAMJA AHSAN |
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