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--- resilients:scenario_planning [2012-04-12 16:20] – maja
+++ resilients:scenario_planning [2012-04-12 21:41] – nik
@@ Line 5: / Line 5: @@
 in "Why Scenarios?" http://www.gbn.com/about/scenario_planning.php
+=== Open source scenarios ===
 <blockquote>
-Imagine a database of thousands of items all related to understanding how the future could turn out. This database would include narrow concerns and large-scale driving forces alike, would have links to relevant external materials, and would have space for the discussion of and elaboration on the entries. The items in the database would link to scenario documents showing how various forces and changes could combine to produce different possible outcomes. Best of all, the entire construction would be open access, free for the use.
-</blockquote>
-in "Open Source Scenario Planning" http://openthefuture.com/2006/08/otf_core_open_source_scenario.html
-==== Open source scenarios ====
 Imagine a database of thousands of items all related to understanding how the future could turn out. This database would include narrow concerns and large-scale driving forces alike, would have links to relevant external materials, and would have space for the discussion of and elaboration on the entries. The items in the database would link to scenario documents showing how various forces and changes could combine to produce different possible outcomes. Best of all, the entire construction would be open access, free for the use.
 As a result, people around the world could start playing with these scenario elements, re-mixing them in new ways, looking for heretofore unseen connections and surprising combinatorial results. Sharp eyes could seek out and correct underlying problems of logic or fact. Organizations with limited resources and few connections to big thinkers would be able to craft scenario narratives of their own with a planet's worth of ideas at their fingertips.
+</blockquote>
-http://www.worldchanging.com/archives//004246.html
+in "Open Source Scenario Planning" http://openthefuture.com/2006/08/otf_core_open_source_scenario.html and http://www.worldchanging.com/archives//004246.html
-==== Scenarios ====
+=== Scenarios ===
   * They're provocative -- they push the readers to think about possibilities they'd often rather not face. While this often means confronting unpleasant outcomes, it can also mean admitting the possibility of success, what it would take to get there, and what one would do if it happened.
@@ Line 37: / Line 29: @@
   * Slideshow on building scenarios by futuresavvy.com: http://www.slideshare.net/adgo/scenario-building-workshop-how-to-build-and-use-scenarios
   * [[taleb's rules]]
-  * The art of the long view by Peter Schwartz
+  * "The Art of the Long View" by Peter Schwartz
   * http://www.driversofchange.com/