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resilients:scenario_planning [2012-04-12 21:40] nikresilients:scenario_planning [2013-02-09 01:55] – Links to resilients:future_preparedness changed to resilients:future_preparedness_overview alkan
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 in "Why Scenarios?" http://www.gbn.com/about/scenario_planning.php in "Why Scenarios?" http://www.gbn.com/about/scenario_planning.php
  
-==== Open source scenarios ====+=== Scenario workshop at FoAM 201205=== 
 +see [[scenario workshop 201205]] 
 + 
 +=== Open source scenarios ===
 <blockquote> <blockquote>
 Imagine a database of thousands of items all related to understanding how the future could turn out. This database would include narrow concerns and large-scale driving forces alike, would have links to relevant external materials, and would have space for the discussion of and elaboration on the entries. The items in the database would link to scenario documents showing how various forces and changes could combine to produce different possible outcomes. Best of all, the entire construction would be open access, free for the use. Imagine a database of thousands of items all related to understanding how the future could turn out. This database would include narrow concerns and large-scale driving forces alike, would have links to relevant external materials, and would have space for the discussion of and elaboration on the entries. The items in the database would link to scenario documents showing how various forces and changes could combine to produce different possible outcomes. Best of all, the entire construction would be open access, free for the use.
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 </blockquote> </blockquote>
  
-in "Open Source Scenario Planning" http://openthefuture.com/2006/08/otf_core_open_source_scenario.html and http://www.worldchanging.com/archives//004246.html+in "Open Source Scenario Planning" http://openthefuture.com/2006/08/otf_core_open_source_scenario.html  
 +and http://www.worldchanging.com/archives//004246.html
  
 +=== Scenarios & dialogue ===
 +<blockquote>The ideal approach to the future combines free speculation and data-driven deduction. Scenarios are an ideal tool for strategic dialogue -- Karl Schroeder</blockquote>
  
- +=== Scenarios ===
-==== Scenarios ====+
  
   * They're provocative -- they push the readers to think about possibilities they'd often rather not face. While this often means confronting unpleasant outcomes, it can also mean admitting the possibility of success, what it would take to get there, and what one would do if it happened.   * They're provocative -- they push the readers to think about possibilities they'd often rather not face. While this often means confronting unpleasant outcomes, it can also mean admitting the possibility of success, what it would take to get there, and what one would do if it happened.
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 {{ :resilients:scenario-process-diagram.png?1000 |Visual translation of "Steps to developing scenarios" by P. Schwartz}} {{ :resilients:scenario-process-diagram.png?1000 |Visual translation of "Steps to developing scenarios" by P. Schwartz}}
 +
 +Diagram prepared with [[http://vue.tufts.edu | VUE]]
  
 ---- ----
  
-related: [[future preparedness]]+related: [[future_preparedness_overview]]
  • resilients/scenario_planning.txt
  • Last modified: 2014-02-11 05:33
  • by nik