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| resilients:scenario_planning [2013-02-12 05:31] – maja | resilients:scenario_planning [2013-02-14 01:49] – nik |
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| ===scenario planning & scenario thinking=== | ====Scenario planning & scenario thinking==== |
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| Scenarios are not predictions. Rather, they are provocative and plausible accounts of how relevant external forces — such as the future political environment, scientific and technological developments, social dynamics, and economic conditions — might interact and evolve, providing our organizations with different challenges and opportunities. | Scenarios are not predictions. Rather, they are provocative and plausible accounts of how relevant external forces — such as the future political environment, scientific and technological developments, social dynamics, and economic conditions — might interact and evolve, providing our organizations with different challenges and opportunities. |
| === Scenarios & dialogue === | === Scenarios & dialogue === |
| <blockquote>The ideal approach to the future combines free speculation and data-driven deduction. Scenarios are an ideal tool for strategic dialogue -- Karl Schroeder</blockquote> | <blockquote>The ideal approach to the future combines free speculation and data-driven deduction. Scenarios are an ideal tool for strategic dialogue -- Karl Schroeder</blockquote> |
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| | === What next for scenario planning? === |
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| | <blockquote>Recently I have been interviewing a variety of high profile futurists and up-and-coming strategists on how online approaches are transforming scenario planning and futures work.</blockquote> |
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| | http://news.noahraford.com/?p=313 |
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| === Scenarios === | === Scenarios === |
nik