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resilients:scenario_planning [2013-02-12 04:28] – majaresilients:scenario_planning [2014-02-11 05:33] (current) – nik
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-===scenario planning & scenario thinking===+====Scenario planning & scenario thinking==== 
 + 
 +(see updated notes at [[:future_fabulators/scenario_planning]]) 
 <blockquote> <blockquote>
 Scenarios are not predictions. Rather, they are provocative and plausible accounts of how relevant external forces — such as the future political environment, scientific and technological developments, social dynamics, and economic conditions — might interact and evolve, providing our organizations with different challenges and opportunities. Scenarios are not predictions. Rather, they are provocative and plausible accounts of how relevant external forces — such as the future political environment, scientific and technological developments, social dynamics, and economic conditions — might interact and evolve, providing our organizations with different challenges and opportunities.
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 in "Open Source Scenario Planning" http://openthefuture.com/2006/08/otf_core_open_source_scenario.html  in "Open Source Scenario Planning" http://openthefuture.com/2006/08/otf_core_open_source_scenario.html 
 and http://www.worldchanging.com/archives//004246.html and http://www.worldchanging.com/archives//004246.html
 +
 +=== Open foresight ===
 +
 +"What is Open Foresight? We recently introduced the concept of ‘Open Foresight’ as a process we’re developing to analyze complex issues in an open and collaborative way, and to raise the bar on public discourse and forward-focused critical thinking [...] In simple terms, open foresight is a process for building visions of the future together." 
 +
 +  * http://emergentbydesign.com/2011/03/07/what-is-open-foresight/
 +  * http://emergentbydesign.com/2012/10/29/open-foresight-model-public-futurism/
  
 === Scenarios & dialogue === === Scenarios & dialogue ===
 <blockquote>The ideal approach to the future combines free speculation and data-driven deduction. Scenarios are an ideal tool for strategic dialogue -- Karl Schroeder</blockquote> <blockquote>The ideal approach to the future combines free speculation and data-driven deduction. Scenarios are an ideal tool for strategic dialogue -- Karl Schroeder</blockquote>
 +
 +=== What next for scenario planning? ===
 +
 +<blockquote>Recently I have been interviewing a variety of high profile futurists and  up-and-coming strategists on how online approaches are transforming scenario planning and futures work.</blockquote>
 +
 +http://news.noahraford.com/?p=313
  
 === Scenarios === === Scenarios ===
  • resilients/scenario_planning.1360643297.txt.gz
  • Last modified: 2013-02-12 04:28
  • by maja