This is an old revision of the document!
An experiment in futurecrafting conducted in November 2017. We started from the current conditions and environmental challenges in the region. We asked, “What are the (environmental) critical uncertainties in the American South-West?” and used the Causal Layered Analysis to probe this question. The three critical uncertainties identified by the participants were heat, water and tech industry. The three tables below summarise the causes underlying each of the uncertainties, as well as possible alternatives specific to a speculative “Shadow Belmont” - a parallel present or possible future of an urban centre in Arizona.
Current | Alt | |
---|---|---|
Litany | Impact, duration & intensity of heat-waves | Seeking shade & shadows; Daily & yearly rhythms attuned to desert cycles (Saguaro time) |
Causes | Climate change; Lifestyle & cities not adapted to desert conditions | Shade-based architecture and transport; Situated learning; Government is the medium; Monastic entities for rethinking time |
Worldviews | Man has dominion over Earth; Right to property and prosperity | Long, durational desert abiding (qualitative time); Redesign of the body attuned to the event (alignment, emergence) |
Myths | Phoenix; Prometheus; Wild West, Desert is a void (purity of wilderness); Noble Savage | Desert Attunement; American Gods; Evolutionary architecture; Long temporality of nothingness followed by abrupt change, return to nothingness |
Current | Alt | |
---|---|---|
Litany | Distribution, pricing and quality of water | Governance and sharing of a variable water supply as a commons |
Causes | Weak public infrastructure and political inaction; growing population; economic valuation; water rights and food sovereignty | Variable abundance & commons management (stewarding, minding); Feasts & festivals (train social commitment) |
Worldviews | Individual self-reliance and DIY; libertarian ethos, free market | Sociality of a coven/dionisian feast; Social responsibility, commitment and obligation; A spirit/transformational field |
Myths | Easy Rider, Godless (Guns & God); sufficiency and hubris | Carnivàle, Dionisian world, time marked by feasts & silences; blooming, flowing, absorption, ecstasy |
Current | Alt | |
---|---|---|
Litany | Impact of the tech industry | Impact of Antennae-centric tech industry; Smart-grid & solar; Ambient & responsive; Rise of new attunement instruments |
Causes | Economic incentives; Risk tolerance; Job creation; “Innovation Valley of the Sun” | Collective incentives; Government supports trans-species chanelling, Tech-supported complementary currencies; ecological resource management; Non-representational media and occult/alchemical technologies |
Worldviews | Faith in technological progress; American pragmatism; Distrust of educated elites; Protestant work ethic; Importance of tangible, visible and measurable contribution to society; Immortality | Serial monotasking (commitment to the act); Bringing together heterogeneous systems where medium is the catalyst (biomimicry); Attunement to differentials |
Myths | (Cowboy) Missionaries, John Ford films, Pioneers, Atomism of the isolated subject; Idleness is the devil's playground; Existential quests and transcendence in the desert | City & the city, The Laundry Files, The New Renaissance, dissolving, trance, enthusiasm |
Headlines from “Saguaro Times”, daily newspaper in “Shadow Belmont”
Further notes on: resonances | experiments | fieldtrip_2