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| future_fabulators:cognitive_bias [2014-02-19 00:21] – created nik | future_fabulators:cognitive_bias [2014-03-04 06:51] (current) – maja |
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| "Cognitive biases are tendencies to think in certain ways. Cognitive biases can lead to systematic deviations from a standard of rationality or good judgment, and are often studied in psychology and behavioral economics." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases | "Cognitive biases are tendencies to think in certain ways. Cognitive biases can lead to systematic deviations from a standard of rationality or good judgment, and are often studied in psychology and behavioral economics." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases |
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| Various cognitive and social biases can effect our thinking, reasoning and understanding of the present and future. How do we work with assumptions and misunderstanding as givens? | Various cognitive and social biases can effect our thinking, reasoning and understanding of the parallel present and possible futures. How do we work with assumptions and misunderstanding as givens? |
| * attempt to treat 'facts' as 'assumptions' in [[scenario methods]] | * attempt to treat 'facts' as 'assumptions' in [[scenario methods]] |
| * Possibly [[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias_mitigation]] | * Possibly [[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias_mitigation]] |
| * be aware of related [[wp>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_common_misconceptions|common misconceptions]] | * be aware of related [[wp>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_common_misconceptions|common misconceptions]] |
| | * see also [[affective forecasting]] |
nik