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future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-02 11:40] – michka | future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-04 13:33] – [drivers] maja | ||
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==== Food Horizons ==== | ==== Food Horizons ==== | ||
- | a page to collect drivers of change and [[horizon scanning]] notes related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http:// | + | a page to collect drivers of change and [[horizon scanning]] notes related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http:// |
eg. | eg. | ||
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===Environmental=== | ===Environmental=== | ||
- | | + | |
* > increasing systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines | * > increasing systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines | ||
* > potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. | * > potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. | ||
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IPCC AR5 WG2 Figure SPM.2a | IPCC AR5 WG2 Figure SPM.2a | ||
- | ==Change in plant & livestock production== | + | ==Change in Plant Crops Production== |
- | + | ||
- | =Plant Crops= | + | |
* India: global loss in cereal production. | * India: global loss in cereal production. | ||
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* Australia: global decrease. | * Australia: global decrease. | ||
- | =Livestock= | + | ==Change in Livestock |
* Africa: less Livestock & Dairy | * Africa: less Livestock & Dairy | ||
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* Oceania: decrease everywhere but South Australia. | * Oceania: decrease everywhere but South Australia. | ||
* South America: | * South America: | ||
- | Andean mountains: decrease of every livestock but sheep, which increase. | + | |
- | Argentina & Chile: more beef cattle. | + | * Argentina & Chile: more beef cattle. |
- | Columbia, Venezuela & Ecuador: less beef cattle. | + | * Columbia, Venezuela & Ecuador: less beef cattle. |
* North America: strong decrease of Dairy yields. | * North America: strong decrease of Dairy yields. | ||
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+ | {{ : | ||
===Economic=== | ===Economic=== | ||
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* Increased financiarisation of economy | * Increased financiarisation of economy | ||
- | * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > combined with increasing inequities in personal wealth, reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food | + | |
* > starvation for specific locations & poor people; | * > starvation for specific locations & poor people; | ||
* > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; | * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; | ||
* > geopolitical instability. | * > geopolitical instability. | ||
- | * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food | + | |
* > starvation for specific locations & poor people | * > starvation for specific locations & poor people | ||
* > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population | * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population | ||
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+ | ====drivers==== | ||
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+ | ====causal layered analysis==== | ||
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+ | {{> | ||